P302Rivals Football - Chelsea FC
Week 29 Maths
by cfcww, 21/03, 18:53

For those of you still interested, which I expect is not too many, I have updated the maths. Despite Antonio and a few others from this parish trying to simplify matters, I still like to make it complicated and state that 88 points will be more than enough!

To get that out of the last ten games, six wins & a draw or 5 wins and four draws will do. Six of our games are at home, five of which are against teams in the bottom eleven. With everybody up to Bournemouth in 11th (one of our four away games) probably still nervous about relegation all those teams probably won't have the luxury of parking the bus away from home against us although there is a chance Boro and Sunderland maybe down by the time they come to the Bridge and I expect an Allardyce managed Palace will park the bus just to piss everybody off. With Everton & West Brom in form they will also fancy their chances against us at their home grounds and may also be more open.

Spurs are now the only team who can get to 89 points but have to win their remaining ten games. They have two consecutive away games at Burnley on 1st April & Swansea on the 5th April, They have Arsenal & United still to play at home and further potential tricky aways at Palace, West Ham, Leicester & Hull. Out of their last ten games, six are away from home.

Following City's recent draws with Stoke and Liverpool they can only get to 87 by winning their last ten, they still have to come to us and have Arsenal away & United at home. Their previous potential fixture congestion issue is no longer an actual issue.

United can get to 85 if they win their last 11 Games. In case you weren't aware, Jose has mentioned on the odd occasion that they may feel a bit cranky over fixture congestion although we have recently helped them out with this. Given they have us at home along with Spurs & City away, they may return the favour!

Liverpool can only get to 83 by winning their last nine, with no games left against the top six, they could finish strongly.

Arsenal can also get to 83 by winning their last eleven and whilst their predictable demise under pressure is not a shock, it wouldn't be a disaster if they found a shred of pride at White Hart Lane in a few weeks time.

The Financial Times last prediction on 12th March still had us predicted for 89 Points clear of Spurs in 2nd on 80 Points.