As one of the reasons I very rarely bet, I have a thing about this. As the name suggests, it's not actually a real thing but I do believe it applies more in a game like football than in other areas. For me, the fact we performed above expectations last season and beat City home and away, made me think there's no way we were going to do the same over them this year.
I think there's an element of reverting to the mean here - I think, all things considered, we're the third or fourth best team in the league, and that is where we'll end up this season.
Of course, I said similar at this stage last year and was completely wrong, so you can ignore this bollocks if you like